Victoria at a glance
Legislative Assembly
Victorian lower-house districts.
2022 Labor
Historical 2022 result.
2022 Liberal
Historical 2022 result.
2026 polling picture
Coalition 2PP in the displayed BludgerTrack figure.
⚠️ POLLS & PROJECTIONS ARE NOT RESULTS
This website separates the historical 2022 result from the 2026 estimate.
No 2026 seat is being shown as officially won or called. Actual election results will only become available once counting takes place.
The 2026 outlook is an illustrative model based on the polling environment and individual-seat assumptions. It may be wrong.
Polls & BludgerTrack
The figures below are displayed as polling information rather than election results. Polls can change and can be wrong.
Source: Poll Bludger — BludgerTrack Victoria 2026.
Open the Poll Bludger BludgerTrack page →Labor — 2PP
Coalition — 2PP
One Nation
Current 2PP picture
This is a polling estimate, not a count of votes cast in 2026.
Polling warning
A polling lead does not automatically mean every marginal seat changes hands.
Local candidates, preferences, turnout, campaigning and seat-level swings can all affect the result.
Victoria's 88-seat map
🗺️ THREE MAP VIEWS
2022 Results shows the historical winner.
2026 Estimate shows the current illustrative three-party outlook.
Chance of Change shows which seats appear more vulnerable under this scenario.
The map is clickable and zoomable.
2026 seat outlook
🔮 ILLUSTRATIVE 2026 SCENARIO
This scenario gives the Coalition a stronger position than the 2022 result and allows for One Nation to potentially win one or two districts.
This is not a prediction of the actual election result.
The purpose is to show what a polling-driven change scenario could look like.
Illustrative seats
Illustrative seats
Illustrative seats
Majority
Seats required for a majority.
All 88 Victorian districts
Every district is included. Before the election, the status is shown as an estimate rather than a called result.
| District | 2022 | 2026 outlook | Change chance | Status |
|---|
Who do you think will win?
This is an informal website poll. It is NOT an official election poll.
Liberal Victoria — Their Plan
These are their policies, not the policies of this website.
Cost of living
Liberal Victoria's published platform includes measures focused on cost-of-living pressures.
Their policies →Community safety
Their policy platform includes crime, policing and community-safety priorities.
Their plan →Healthcare
Healthcare is included among the policy priorities published by Liberal Victoria.
Their policies →Home ownership
Their housing proposals include measures relating to housing supply and ownership.
Their policies →Economy
Their published platform includes economic and budget-related commitments.
Their policies →Roads & infrastructure
Roads and infrastructure are also part of their published priorities.
Their plan →Liberal Victoria
Visit the official Liberal Victoria website for their current policies.
Liberal Victoria →